
What We're Tracking U.S.-Iran conflict escalates. U.S.-Iran clashes will likely continue over the next week, with the latest strikes indicating a widening in geographic scope and target sets, with no clear path toward de-escalation. Although regional negotiators, including Pakistan and Qatar, will likely encourage both the United States and Iran to de-escalate and resume negotiations, neither side seems willing to make concessions. If the United States increasingly targets civilian infrastructure in Iran, Iran will likely respond proportionately, risking damage to Gulf infrastructure — including power plants, desalination facilities and ports — and threatening personal safety throughout the region. Iran will also likely conduct further attacks against commercial vessels attempting to transit the Strait of Hormuz since the United States reimposed its blockade against Iranian ports July 14. ASEAN and major power foreign ministers meet in Manila.