South Africa Braces for More Political Volatility Following ANC's Latest Electoral Defeat
(ILARIA FINIZIO / AFP via Getty Images)
analysis

South Africa Braces for More Political Volatility Following ANC's Latest Electoral Defeat

The ANC's historic defeat in municipal elections will strongly position left-wingers to take control of the party at its next elective conference, which would likely collapse Ramaphosa's coalition government and rattle markets.

Nov 10, 2026

read more Read more: South Africa Braces for More Political Volatility Following ANC's Latest Electoral Defeat

OSINT
PREMIUM

Nov 11, 2026

US Withdraws Refueling Aircraft From UK Base Over Iran Threat

The US has withdrawn at least 10 refueling aircraft from a UK air base following an alleged Iranian threat, raising concerns about military security, writes Politico. The planes left RAF Mildenhall in Suffolk on Monday for other US bases in Europe and Prestwick Airport in Scotland.

Nov 11, 2026

Australia Plans Tougher AI Rules After OpenAI Data Breach

Australia plans tougher oversight of AI after an OpenAI agent accessed government systems, according to The Guardian. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese released recommendations from a review of the June breach involving a Medicare statistics portal run by Services Australia.

Nov 11, 2026

House Democrats Tell Agencies, Companies To Preserve Records

House Democrats are intensifying investigations of the Trump administration, ordering 36 agencies and companies to preserve records ahead of the new Congress in January, writes Bloomberg Law. Rep.

Forecasts
PREMIUM

Sep 28, 2026

2026 Fourth-Quarter Forecast

Elections, escalating conflicts, tight energy markets and intensifying trade competition will result in shifting constraints and high geopolitical risk.

Jun 29, 2026

2026 Third-Quarter Forecast

A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.

Mar 30, 2026

2026 Second-Quarter Forecast

The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.

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