
analysis
What to Make of Egypt's Expanding Footprint in Sudan and the Horn of Africa
To stabilize Sudan and contain Ethiopian influence, Egypt will continue to expand cooperation with Sudan, Somalia and Eritrea, but Cairo's reliance on Emirati capital will constrain more aggressive moves against the UAE's regional interests.
Oct 22, 2026
read more Read more: What to Make of Egypt's Expanding Footprint in Sudan and the Horn of AfricaFeatured Analysis

U.S. Naval Update Map: Oct. 22, 2026
Oct 22, 2026
Analysis
Haiti, El Salvador: Bukele Issues Warning to Haitian Gangs Following Alleged Kidnapping of Salvadoran GSF Members
Oct 22, 2026
Ukraine, NATO: New Procurement Deal Deepens Ukraine's Integration Into NATO's Defense Industry
Oct 22, 2026
OSINT PREMIUM
Oct 22, 2026
Germany’s Friedrich Merz Warns of ‘Intense’ Russian Espionage After Arrest
Germany is the target of “intense” Russian espionage, Chancellor Friedrich Merz warned, as a 53-year-old man was arrested for allegedly passing on sensitive information about military sites and arms factories to the Kremlin.
Oct 22, 2026
Italy and Spain to End Border Checks, Easing Tensions After Ceuta Migrant Row
Italy and Spain agreed to permanently lift temporary border checks, ending the suspension of Schengen rules between the two countries. Last week, Prime Ministers Giorgia Meloni and Pedro Sánchez signaled their intention to end the checks on the sidelines of the European Council.
Oct 22, 2026
Ukraine to Buy Military Supplies Via NATO Agency
NATO will allow Ukraine to buy weapons, ammunition, and military equipment via its centralized procurement agency, potentially allowing Kyiv to obtain defense supplies faster and more cheaply.
Forecasts PREMIUM
Sep 28, 2026
2026 Fourth-Quarter Forecast
Elections, escalating conflicts, tight energy markets and intensifying trade competition will result in shifting constraints and high geopolitical risk.
Jun 29, 2026
2026 Third-Quarter Forecast
A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.
Mar 30, 2026
2026 Second-Quarter Forecast
The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.



