Are Pakistan and Afghanistan Headed Toward a Proxy War?
(AFP via Getty Images)
analysis

Are Pakistan and Afghanistan Headed Toward a Proxy War?

High tensions with Afghanistan will likely make Pakistan more willing to provide limited support to anti-Taliban groups to pressure Kabul, though such assistance would yield modest strategic gains and risk triggering broader instability.

Nov 12, 2026

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OSINT
PREMIUM

Nov 12, 2026

Oil Flows Through Hormuz Despite High Costs, Continued Attacks

Oil tankers continued to pass through the Strait of Hormuz despite recurrent Iranian attacks and no clear outlook for stabilization of the strait's security. French President Emmanuel Macron reportedly discussed ways to lower costs with subsidized risk for insurance with key Gulf Arab states, Bloomberg reported on Nov. 10, though...

Nov 12, 2026

Turkey in Advanced Talks With Canada, South Korea, for New Nuclear Power Plants

Canada's AtkinsRealis said it had agreed to conduct a feasibility study to construct a new nuclear power plant in Turkey on Nov. 12, Reuters reported the same day.

Nov 12, 2026

CNOOC Announces Ultra-Deep Gas Well in Bohai Sea

Chinese oil and gas major CNOOC announced on Nov. 12 that it had drilled an ultra-deep, high-yield oil and gas well in volcanic formations near the Bozhong Sag hydrocarbon depression in the Bohai Sea.

Forecasts
PREMIUM

Sep 28, 2026

2026 Fourth-Quarter Forecast

Elections, escalating conflicts, tight energy markets and intensifying trade competition will result in shifting constraints and high geopolitical risk.

Jun 29, 2026

2026 Third-Quarter Forecast

A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.

Mar 30, 2026

2026 Second-Quarter Forecast

The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.

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