analysis
Former Congolese President Kabila Rebrands Rwandan-Backed Rebel Movement
The formation of the Front for the Refoundation of the Nation under Joseph Kabila elevates the political threat to President Felix Tshisekedi by integrating high-profile opposition leadership with the M23 military apparatus.
Oct 23, 2026
read more Read more: Former Congolese President Kabila Rebrands Rwandan-Backed Rebel MovementFeatured Analysis
U.S. Naval Update Map: Oct. 22, 2026
Oct 22, 2026
OSINT PREMIUM
Oct 23, 2026
Houthis Encircle Yemen’s Taiz as War With Saudi-Backed Forces Escalates
Yemen’s Houthi rebels are closing in on Taiz, trapping residents as fighting cuts off supplies and sends prices soaring. The offensive, reports the Financial Times, has turned the entrances to the country’s third-largest city into front lines, with few vehicles able to enter through combat zones.
Oct 23, 2026
Trump Waives New Russia Sanctions, Forgoes Pressure on Moscow's War Revenues
What Happened: US President Donald Trump signed an executive order on 16 October waiving the Russia-related sanctions, restrictions, and tariffs prescribed by the Lindsey O. Graham Sanctioning Russia and Iran Act of 2026.
Oct 23, 2026
Japan Reports Surge in Airspace Violations by Chinese, Russian Aircraft
Japan saw a surge in airspace violations by Chinese and Russian aircraft during the first half of Fiscal Year 2026 following a decrease in 2025. The Japan Air Self-Defense Force scrambled fighter aircraft 442 times from 1 April-30 September, which is the first half of Japan’s FY2026, according to Japan’s...
Forecasts PREMIUM
Sep 28, 2026
2026 Fourth-Quarter Forecast
Elections, escalating conflicts, tight energy markets and intensifying trade competition will result in shifting constraints and high geopolitical risk.
Jun 29, 2026
2026 Third-Quarter Forecast
A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.
Mar 30, 2026
2026 Second-Quarter Forecast
The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.
