analysis
Are Pakistan and Afghanistan Headed Toward a Proxy War?
High tensions with Afghanistan will likely make Pakistan more willing to provide limited support to anti-Taliban groups to pressure Kabul, though such assistance would yield modest strategic gains and risk triggering broader instability.
Nov 12, 2026
read more Read more: Are Pakistan and Afghanistan Headed Toward a Proxy War?Featured Analysis
U.S. Naval Update Map: Nov. 12, 2026
Nov 12, 2026
Analysis
Taiwan, Papua New Guinea: Taipei Office Closure Part of China's Economic Isolation Strategy
Nov 12, 2026
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OSINT PREMIUM
Nov 13, 2026
https://www.ft.com/content/377d2ae5-112f-411f-bfc1-5e498948cb7b?syn-25a6b1a6=1
Ongoing power outages are deepening across Venezuela, fueling anti-government protests and increasing political pressure on the government and intensifying calls for democratic elections, Bloomberg reports. The chronic power blackouts most seriously affect the Andean states of Merida, Tachira, and Trujillo.
Nov 13, 2026
AI Bots Now Use Credit Cards; Banks Scramble to Adapt
Rapid advances in AI assistants such as Meta's Muse, now able to make purchases on cardholders' behalf, are reshaping the fight over the future of consumer payments, The Wall Street Journal reports.
Nov 13, 2026
In First, Ukrainian Drone Hits Russian Warship in Gulf of Finland
A Ukrainian drone hit a Russian Buyan-M class corvette in the early hours of Wednesday 28 miles off the Finnish coast in international waters, Bloomberg writes. The incident in the Gulf of Finland expands military operations to a new area.
Forecasts PREMIUM
Sep 28, 2026
2026 Fourth-Quarter Forecast
Elections, escalating conflicts, tight energy markets and intensifying trade competition will result in shifting constraints and high geopolitical risk.
Jun 29, 2026
2026 Third-Quarter Forecast
A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.
Mar 30, 2026
2026 Second-Quarter Forecast
The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.
