analysis
China's Fifth Plenum Redoubles Anti-Corruption Work, Prepares for Xi's Fourth Term
The outcome of China's fifth plenum portends expanding anti-corruption probes against central elites and local leaders alike, impeding economic growth and cross-border commerce, but also unifying Beijing's policy direction on foreign policy issues such as U.S. trade and Taiwan.
Nov 06, 2026
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OSINT PREMIUM
Nov 06, 2026
Europe Alarmed by US Plans for Security Deal With Russia
European capitals voiced alarm at the Trump administration's claim to be working on a new "framework" for European security with Russia as part of a future peace deal in Ukraine.
Nov 06, 2026
EU and UK Set to Link Carbon Markets in Major Post-Brexit Deal
The European Union and the United Kingdom are preparing to reconnect their carbon markets, a move that could spare manufacturers on both sides of the Channel from additional carbon border charges, according to a draft document seen by Euronews.
Nov 06, 2026
Bomb Threats Target Media and Flights as Email Warns ‘This is Only The Beginning’
Bomb threats on Friday forced the evacuation of Irish newsrooms and disrupted dozens more European passenger flights, as an email warned that this week’s chaos was “only the beginning”.
Forecasts PREMIUM
Sep 28, 2026
2026 Fourth-Quarter Forecast
Elections, escalating conflicts, tight energy markets and intensifying trade competition will result in shifting constraints and high geopolitical risk.
Jun 29, 2026
2026 Third-Quarter Forecast
A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.
Mar 30, 2026
2026 Second-Quarter Forecast
The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.
