What's Next for Indonesia After Vice President Resigns Over Wiretapping Scandal
(Fatih Mubarok / AFP via Getty Images)
analysis

What's Next for Indonesia After Vice President Resigns Over Wiretapping Scandal

The vice president's exit and an expanding police wiretapping probe will likely strengthen President Subianto's political and institutional control while carrying risks of popular blowback and market instability.

Nov 13, 2026

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OSINT
PREMIUM

Nov 13, 2026

Four Tankers Struck By Explosions in Strait of Hormuz, Iran Says

Four oil tankers were hit by explosions in ​the Strait of Hormuz, Iran's military said on Thursday, adding that the vessels ‌had ignored warnings and entered what it considers restricted areas of the strategic waterway.

Nov 13, 2026

Speaker Johnson Says Congress Developing Consensus on Limiting Chip Exports to China

US House Speaker Mike Johnson said on Thursday there was a growing consensus in Congress on limiting exports of semiconductor chips to China after a scandal forced out ⁠Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang. "The export controls on chips to China has been a big issue around here.

Nov 13, 2026

Beijing Is Trying to Build a Chinese Rival for Insuring World Shipping

China is moving to establish an alternative to the shipping insurance provided by Western financial institutions such as Lloyd’s of London. Chinese maritime officials are talking to local shipping companies, banks, and Chinese insurers about putting together US$15 billion in funds to set up an insurance and reinsurance hub for...

Forecasts
PREMIUM

Sep 28, 2026

2026 Fourth-Quarter Forecast

Elections, escalating conflicts, tight energy markets and intensifying trade competition will result in shifting constraints and high geopolitical risk.

Jun 29, 2026

2026 Third-Quarter Forecast

A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.

Mar 30, 2026

2026 Second-Quarter Forecast

The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.

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