
analysis
Electoral Calculations Guide Kenyan Fiscal Policy Ahead of 2027 Elections
Buoyed by resilient economic growth and solid foreign exchange reserves, the Ruto administration will likely delay painful fiscal consolidation, instead channeling resources to secure a new term in August elections.
Oct 30, 2026
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Analysis
U.S., Russia, Europe: Moscow Stands To Benefit From Washington's Rift With European Allies
Oct 30, 2026
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OSINT PREMIUM
Oct 30, 2026
Drone Attack Reported at Russia's Novokuibyshevsk Oil Refinery
A major fire reportedly broke out at an oil refinery in Russia's Samara region on Friday following a drone attack. According to Rosneft, the Novokuibyshevsk oil refinery can process around 8.8 million tonnes of crude oil per year and is involved in the production of jet fuel.
Oct 30, 2026
Berlin Prepares for Gen Z Protests
Berlin security authorities say they have no information regarding specific calls for violence at this Saturday’s protest, but they are preparing for a major operation.
Oct 30, 2026
UK Firms Open Up Offices to Let Trade Unions Recruit Members
British businesses now have to let trade union members into their offices to recruit after the Labour government’s overhaul of workers’ rights. The new rules, starting Friday, are already causing employers to draft confidentiality agreements to allow union members access to workplaces, due to worries that union reps may get...
Forecasts PREMIUM
Sep 28, 2026
2026 Fourth-Quarter Forecast
Elections, escalating conflicts, tight energy markets and intensifying trade competition will result in shifting constraints and high geopolitical risk.
Jun 29, 2026
2026 Third-Quarter Forecast
A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.
Mar 30, 2026
2026 Second-Quarter Forecast
The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.




