Vucic's Defeat Ushers in a New Era of Serbian Politics
(Andrej Ivanov/Getty Images)
analysis

Vucic's Defeat Ushers in a New Era of Serbian Politics

The Student List's historic electoral victory ends 14 years of Serbian Progressive Party dominance, though the new coalition government's fragile majority and ideological diversity will impede its ambitious reform agenda.

Oct 26, 2026

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OSINT
PREMIUM

Oct 27, 2026

US Eases Some Canadian Tariffs Ahead of Midterm Elections

The Trump administration will ease some 50% tariffs on Canadian goods from Oct. 30, weeks before US midterm elections that will determine control of Congress. The exemptions cover products including plywood, paper goods, machinery, and refrigeration equipment, writes the BBC. Republican Sen.

Oct 27, 2026

Black Sea Becomes World's Deadliest Shipping Route as Russia-Ukraine Attacks Escalate

The Black Sea has become the world's deadliest shipping route for commercial sailors as Russian and Ukrainian attacks intensify, killing at least 40 seafarers this year.

Oct 27, 2026

EU Considers Taking Stakes in Critical Mineral Projects To Reduce Dependence on China

The EU is considering taking equity stakes in critical raw material projects to reduce its dependence on China for minerals essential to defense and clean technologies. The proposal would establish an agency empowered to invest in producers, build strategic stockpiles, and monitor supplies, reports the Financial Times.

Forecasts
PREMIUM

Sep 28, 2026

2026 Fourth-Quarter Forecast

Elections, escalating conflicts, tight energy markets and intensifying trade competition will result in shifting constraints and high geopolitical risk.

Jun 29, 2026

2026 Third-Quarter Forecast

A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.

Mar 30, 2026

2026 Second-Quarter Forecast

The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.

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