analysis
Saudi Arabia and the Houthis Exchange Airstrikes, Breaking Yearslong Unofficial Truce
The attacks do not necessarily signal an immediate return to a full-scale war between the Saudis and the Houthis or a reignition of Yemen's civil conflict, but the likelihood of more frequent flare-ups in both theaters is increasing.
Jul 14, 2026
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Analysis
Sudan: U.S. Proposal for 90-Day Ceasefire Makes Progress, but SAF-RSF Disagreements Persist
Jul 14, 2026
Events & Media
The Decision Advantage: Will Mythos Change the Cybersecurity Landscape for Better or for Worse?
May 20, 2026
OSINT PREMIUM
Jul 14, 2026
Britain and EU Formally Sign Gibraltar Treaty, Easing Border Crossings
Britain and the European Union formally signed a treaty on the status of Gibraltar on Tuesday, following an agreement struck last year aimed at easing border crossings and ending years of political uncertainty over the British overseas territory.
Jul 14, 2026
Lithuania Appoints Sinkevicius Prime Minister With Pledge of Defense Spending, US Troop Presence
Lithuania's parliament on Tuesday voted in favour of a government manifesto presented by Social Democrat Mindaugas Sinkevicius, clearing the way for him to become prime minister and for his proposed cabinet to take office.
Jul 14, 2026
Spanish PM's Brother Banned From Public Office for Nine Years for Misconduct
A Spanish court banned the brother of Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez from holding public office for nine years on Tuesday after convicting him of helping secure a public-sector job tailored for him.
Forecasts PREMIUM
Jun 29, 2026
2026 Third-Quarter Forecast
A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.
Mar 30, 2026
2026 Second-Quarter Forecast
The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.
Jan 05, 2026
2026 Annual Forecast
As elections reshape political incentives worldwide, 2026 will see major powers recalibrate diplomacy and conflict, raising the risk of fragile deals, regional instability and sudden escalation.
