Indonesia's Subianto Braces for a Challenging Third Year Amid Myriad Crises
(BAY ISMOYO / AFP via Getty Images)
analysis

Indonesia's Subianto Braces for a Challenging Third Year Amid Myriad Crises

President Subianto's plummeting popularity amid rising economic and environmental challenges will likely prompt limited policy adjustments, but fiscal constraints will leave him vulnerable to recurring unrest and greater coalition dissent.

Oct 27, 2026

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OSINT
PREMIUM

Oct 27, 2026

Three Arab States Back Greece in Dispute Over Turkiye-Libya Maritime Accord

Egypt, Bahrain, and the United Arab Emirates aligned with Greece to denounce a Turkiye-Libya maritime accord as a threat to regional security and international legal order ​amid a long-standing dispute over sea borders in the eastern Mediterranean Sea.

Oct 27, 2026

EU Commission Launches Climate Resilience Framework

The European Commission unveiled on Tuesday its highly-anticipated Climate Resilience Framework, combining a new proposed European Climate Resilience Law alongside a series of tools and supporting measures, aimed at strengthening the EU’s ability to anticipate, prepare for, and manage climate risks.

Oct 27, 2026

Germany Slams Brakes on EU-Canada 'Associate Member' Statement

Germany and three other countries objected to a joint EU-Canada statement proposing to make the North American country the bloc’s first “associate member.” The objection has put the brakes on a text that was due to be automatically adopted on Tuesday morning. The statement will now need to be redrafted.

Forecasts
PREMIUM

Sep 28, 2026

2026 Fourth-Quarter Forecast

Elections, escalating conflicts, tight energy markets and intensifying trade competition will result in shifting constraints and high geopolitical risk.

Jun 29, 2026

2026 Third-Quarter Forecast

A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.

Mar 30, 2026

2026 Second-Quarter Forecast

The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.

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