
analysis
New Budget Measures Will Prolong Tunisia's Economic Crisis, Raising Protest Risks
The government's 2027 draft budget is unlikely to resolve popular economic grievances and will likely exacerbate inflation and public service challenges, setting the stage for more expansive protests over the next year.
Oct 20, 2026
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Analysis
Ethiopia: Abiy Warns Eritrea of 'Extremely Severe Consequences' If Support for Rebels Persists
Oct 20, 2026
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OSINT PREMIUM
Oct 20, 2026
Lisbon Police Arrest 55 Housing Protesters and Clear Rossio Tent Camp
Protesters who in recent days have been camping in the centers of Lisbon and Porto to demand the right to housing were forced to remove their tents and banners after the authorities intervened. In the capital, there was resistance to the order to disperse.
Oct 20, 2026
Australia’s $10 Billion EU Trade Deal Has Stalled Again. What Is It and What’s Gone Wrong?
After a decade of tough negotiations, the Albanese government does not yet have the numbers it needs to get a hard-won free trade deal over the line. Talks with the European Union were finalized in March, and Labor expects to introduce the agreement to parliament early in the new year.
Oct 20, 2026
UK to Deploy Jets to Defend Saudi Arabia From Houthi Attacks
The UK will deploy RAF Typhoon jets to defend Saudi Arabia in response to escalating Houthi missile and drone attacks, the government said. The defensive mission will help defend Saudi cities and infrastructure - a move authorized by Prime Minister Andy Burnham - against aerial attacks by the Iran-backed group.
Forecasts PREMIUM
Sep 28, 2026
2026 Fourth-Quarter Forecast
Elections, escalating conflicts, tight energy markets and intensifying trade competition will result in shifting constraints and high geopolitical risk.
Jun 29, 2026
2026 Third-Quarter Forecast
A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.
Mar 30, 2026
2026 Second-Quarter Forecast
The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.




