Opposition to Tax Increases Will Likely Dilute Colombia's Fiscal Reform
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analysis

Opposition to Tax Increases Will Likely Dilute Colombia's Fiscal Reform

The de la Espriella administration's proposed fiscal reform aims to reassure investors and reduce government debt, but congressional opposition to tax hikes will limit these ambitions.

Nov 03, 2026

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OSINT
PREMIUM

Nov 03, 2026

Russia's War in Ukraine Creeps Into Everyday Life in Poland

Five years into Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the war has started to intrude on everyday life in neighboring Poland. Warsaw has raised the alert level in its eastern regions of Lublin and Subcarpathia, after Moscow escalated its bombing of western Ukraine in recent months by using more jet-powered drones...

Nov 03, 2026

Poland's President Returns as Court Crisis Escalates

Polish President Karol Nawrocki turned back ⁠to Poland while en route to Senegal after a far-right ally was suspended as head of the country's top court, escalating a battle with Prime Minister Donald Tusk's government over control of the judiciary.

Nov 03, 2026

Almost 140 Arrested at Protest Against Palestine Action Ban Outside US Embassy in London

Almost 140 people were arrested at the largest mass demonstrations under Andy Burnham’s premiership opposing the proscription of Palestine Action. Hundreds of people gathered outside the US embassy in Battersea, south London, holding signs that read: “I oppose genocide, I support Palestine Action.

Forecasts
PREMIUM

Sep 28, 2026

2026 Fourth-Quarter Forecast

Elections, escalating conflicts, tight energy markets and intensifying trade competition will result in shifting constraints and high geopolitical risk.

Jun 29, 2026

2026 Third-Quarter Forecast

A fragile truce in the Middle East, persistent energy-driven inflation, shifting U.S. trade policy and escalating regional pressures from Europe to Africa will collectively shape geopolitical risk in the third quarter.

Mar 30, 2026

2026 Second-Quarter Forecast

The second quarter will test global resilience as lingering conflicts and energy shocks converge to heighten economic uncertainty and geopolitical volatility.

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