
A pro-Catalan independence rally on Sept. 28, 2020, in the Spanish city of Barcelona.
While the next Catalan government is unlikely to unilaterally secede from Spain in the short- to medium-term, the issue of Catalan independence will continue to raise long-term questions about Spain's territorial integrity and generate political and economic risk in the region and in Spain as a whole. Catalonia's political parties are currently holding negotiations to appoint the region's next government after the Feb. 14 legislative election. Pro-independence parties are likely to retain power because they control enough seats in the regional parliament to appoint a government. While the pro-independence camp is internally divided, a compromise is probable because it wants to avoid a new election. The unionist Catalan Socialist Party (PSC) won 33 of the 135 seats in the Catalan parliament. While its leader, Salvador Illa, has said he will try to become the region's next president, unionist parties do not control a majority of seats.