Editor's Note: This assessment is the first of a two-part series exploring Iran's intensifying cyber operations against the West. The second part can be found here . Iran's cyber strategy against the West is becoming increasingly focused and aggressive, though Iran's intentions currently outpace its capabilities; Iran's risk tolerance against the United States will likely remain high if former U.S. President Donald Trump is reelected in November, whereas the election of U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris may offer a slim chance for resumed Western dialogue, which could lead Iran to reevaluate its risk appetite. Recent reports from U.S. intelligence and law enforcement agencies, as well as independent cybersecurity researchers, have alleged that Iran's most recent efforts to influence the 2024 U.S. election in November have emerged as a threat on par with Russian efforts.