An audience watches the second presidential debate between Indonesian incumbent President Joko Widodo and candidate for president Prabowo Subianto in Jakarta on Feb. 17, 2019. Neither candidate is likely to radically alter Jakarta's path in the event of victory.
Editor's Note : This assessment is part of a series of analyses supporting Stratfor's upcoming 2019 Second-Quarter Forecast. These assessments are designed to provide more context and in-depth analysis on key developments over the next quarter . On April 17, 190 million Indonesians will go to the polls for simultaneous presidential, parliamentary, provincial and local elections . The two presidential candidates, Joko "Jokowi" Widodo and retired Lt. Gen. Prabowo Subianto, also squared off in 2014 in an election in which Jokowi captured just over 53 percent of the vote. The 2019 vote will determine whether Jokowi returns for a second and final term through 2024. In parliament, the president's Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P) itself holds less than 20 percent of the parliament's seats, yet it leads a coalition accounting for nearly 69 percent of lawmakers.
