
A Ukrainian serviceman is seen in a dugout in the Donetsk region of eastern Ukraine on Feb. 2, 2022.
Although a Russian invasion of Ukraine is not the most likely scenario at this point, it cannot be ruled out and organizations should start considering the risks they could face were such a conflict to break out. In the less likely but more impactful scenario where Russia conducts a full invasion of Ukraine, the United States and its European allies will likely respond with a myriad of financial and other sanctions that would in turn cause the Kremlin to respond with cyberattacks. The United States and the West are likely to place sanctions on Russia's financial sector, export controls on technology exports to Russia (including semiconductors and green technology, and restrictions on new investment into Russia's oil and gas sector and, potentially, a U.S. (but not European) embargo of Russian energy supplies if Russia invades Ukraine.