
While an ECOWAS intervention would probably topple the Nigerien junta eventually, an intervention risks swelling into a regional conflict, giving jihadist groups more space to operate and making any restored Nigerien civilian government extremely fragile. On Aug. 10, the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) activated its standby force to " restore the constitutional order " in Niger, but said it will continue to pursue peaceful diplomatic measures. While Nigeria, Senegal and Togo have all previously committed troops to the mission, the deployment size, mandate and timeline are unclear. France and the United States have said that they will support an ECOWAS mission to reinstate overthrown President Mohamed Bazoum, bolstering the financial, tactical and equipment capabilities of a possible intervention.