Forecast Spain will remain politically divided largely along its historical lines of fragmentation. The rise of anti-establishment parties will inevitably lead to an increasingly complex political picture. This dynamic will continue to foster steep governance challenges as the Spanish system struggles to digest even greater complexities Fragmentation has become the defining characteristic of Spanish politics over the last six months. Regional elections held May 24 have further highlighted this reality. The ruling center-right Popular Party lost every one of its regional majorities, and its share of the vote fell to just 27 percent from 46 percent in 2011. That the party finished first in most assemblies provides scant comfort — rivals can still form coalitions to take the actual majorities.