
Facing imminent collapse and mounting U.S. pressure, the Cuban government will likely make concessions to Washington to gradually open its economy without requiring structural political changes, which the United States will likely support to avoid a state collapse and reaffirm its geopolitical dominance in the Western Hemisphere. Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel said on Feb. 5 that his government was willing to hold negotiations with the United States as long as talks are respectful and have no preconditions. He also noted that his administration would roll out a plan in the coming days to deal with fuel shortages. The statements came a day after a new blackout hit the eastern provinces of Granma, Santiago de Cuba and Guantanamo, a direct consequence of increased U.S. pressure on the island in recent months, including a blockade of Venezuelan crude shipments and threats of tariffs on countries that ship the oil Cuba needs to...