
A checkpoint on Sept. 9, 2020, in Mekele, Ethiopia, the day Tigray held regional elections.
Editor's Note: Portions of this security-focused assessment come from Stratfor Threat Lens, a unique protective intelligence product designed with corporate security leaders in mind. Threat Lens enables industry professionals and organizations to anticipate, identify, measure and mitigate emerging threats to people, assets and intellectual property the world over. Threat Lens is the only unified solution that analyzes and forecasts security risk from a holistic perspective, bringing all the most relevant global insights into a single, interactive threat dashboard. Addis Ababa has ordered military operations in Tigray against the regional government, which could escalate into a much deeper conflict that would ignite other ethnic and clan cleavages across Ethiopia and the Horn of Africa, rolling back Ethiopian stability while blunting foreign investment.