U.S.-Israeli ties are fraying: After the Democrats' overwhelming victory in the Nov. 3 U.S. midterm election brought new critics of Israel into the halls of Congress, that much is certain. Even President Donald Trump, ordinarily a staunch defender of Israel, acknowledged as much in not so many words just hours before the polls closed the same day, saying he would end U.S. military aid to Israel by 2027 in a surprise announcement. The relationship is not set to end, however, but rather to change. The shift underway will see Israel go it alone more often — and pay a higher price for doing so — while the United States will see Israel as a transactional, rather than ideological, partner. What that means for Israel, and for the Middle East writ large, in the long term will depend on how Israel adapts to going it alone.