
In Kenya, political tensions will deepen ahead of next year's general election, as President William Ruto seeks to shore up his flagging popularity, his opponents try to overcome divisions to unify and all sides brace for rising risks of violence. On June 25, Siaya County Gov. James Orengo, alongside other opposition leaders, joined Gen Z demonstrators marking the anniversary of mass anti-government protests in June and July 2024 and 2025, during which at least 127 people were killed by security forces. Although opposition figures have long participated in anti-government demonstrations, their involvement is particularly notable ahead of the August 10, 2027 general election, as they seek to build momentum against Ruto's administration. However, the opposition remains fragmented. Internal divisions have emerged within the Orange Democratic Movement (ODM), one of the main opposition parties, following the sudden death of leader Raila Odinga in October 2025.