
Armenia's upcoming elections will likely provide the incumbent government with a mandate to conclude a peace treaty with Azerbaijan and deepen ties with the West, but Russia's entrenched economic leverage and potential domestic resistance to constitutional revisions could precipitate a political crisis and slow Armenia's efforts to decouple from Russian influence. On June 7, Armenia will hold its first parliamentary election since Azerbaijan seized full control of the Nagorno-Karabakh region in 2023. Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan and his Civil Contract party have campaigned on abandoning historical irredentism in favor of securing the country's internationally recognized borders, finalizing a peace accord with Azerbaijan , normalizing ties with Turkey , and deepening economic and security integration with the European Union and the United States.