What We're Tracking Elevated tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, U.S. hosting Israel-Lebanon Talks. Tensions between the United States and Iran will remain elevated, especially around the Strait of Hormuz, following the May 7 U.S.-Iran exchange of attacks and Iranian attacks against the United Arab Emirates. Although U.S. officials have said the ceasefire remains intact, additional sporadic clashes could complicate U.S.-Iran indirect negotiations and raise the risk that the ceasefire will collapse. Meanwhile, the United States will host a third round of Israel-Lebanon talks May 14-15 in Washington, just days ahead of the May 17 expiration of the ceasefire. Topics under discussion will likely include extending the ceasefire and disarming Hezbollah, although Israeli-Lebanese tensions remain high given Israel's recent attacks on Beirut and Hezbollah attacks near Haifa. France convenes an Africa summit in Kenya.