(Stratfor)

What Happened

Zimbabwe's electoral commission declared interim President Emmerson Mnangagwa the victor in the July 30 election, Reuters reported on Aug. 2. The announcement comes after the contest was marred by violence, including the deaths of at least three protesters, and questions over the validity of the polls.

International election observers noted their reservations about the conduct of the vote, pointing out that some irregularities occurred. Nevertheless, leaders from South Africa, Tanzania and elsewhere sent congratulatory messages to Mnangagwa. Additionally, China, a key ally of Zimbabwe, noted its satisfaction with the election and urged all sides to work for peace and stability.

Why It Matters

The tainted victory is likely enough for Mnangagwa to secure what he needed: a strong mandate and a general acceptance by the international community that the election was good enough. From here, Mnangagwa can push for reforms to make Zimbabwe's battered economy more attractive to Western investment. As for the country's opposition, it appears unlikely that there are any available avenues for redress. For now, the ZANU-PF system lives on.

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